Sunday, March 6, 2011

Degenerating Mid-East Situation

Nothing is constant but change; remains an accepted reality. Having exhausted their patience for many decades of status quo, a boiling point is a natural phenomenon. Zero freedom, massive unemployment, rampant poverty and hunger in wealthy countries make no sense at all. Enough is enough for the sufferers and now the ongoing tug o war among the unhappy public and the oppressive regimes in the Middle Eastern/North African (MENA) countries is the ground reality. It’s getting real ugly, messy, nasty and extremely scary. It is almost impossible to distinguish between military and militancy.
Initially, the riots in Tunisia and Egypt stimulated discontent almost in the entire Arab land. The youth have been wide awake against human rights violations in Tunisia, Egypt, Libya, Yemen, Algeria and Bahrain. As a result, the oppressed Arab world has become defiant and gone furious enough to get going on gun-fighting spree. Furthermore, the defecting soldiers make it even harder for the government soldiers to revert the fatal scenario at this stage. As the virus of rebellion has gripped many Middle Eastern Autocracies. Colonel Qaddafi is in trouble too.
The militant public is well positioned to strategically target the government troops left and right with much ease. Surprisingly, the rebels are dangerously armed with rocket launchers, surface-to-air missile launchers, anti-aircraft guns and tanks. Opposition forces are gaining momentum. On the other hand, Libyan Air Force has been bombing and tear gassing the defiant public, yet the opposition forces are calling for the Libyan leader's ouster at the earliest.
The public and the youth are asking for complete elimination of autocratic rulers in the region to regain the lost social justice, democracy and freedom.
After decades of unpopular rule, political and economic reforms in Egypt and Tunisia are underway, while Libya is going through the pain of civil war and anarcy facing the worst uprising ever - costing lives, movable and immovable property. However, Government of Libya tightened its hold on the capital Tripoli, the Libyan soldiers made an intensified assault on town of Zawiya to reclaim the fallen city. Yet at the same time, rebel fighters went on the offensive in central Libya, attacking regime forces to win oil port Brega.
As the intense fighting is going on in Libyan cities, Bahrain, Yemen, Algeria are struggling to defuse the anger of their public to escape any potential hazard. The bloodiest uprising against the rulers in the Middle East and North Africa is causing a humanitarian crisis, especially on the Tunisian border where tens of thousands of foreign workers have fled for safety.
It seems certain that the autocratic rulers have no choice but to leave. Most probably, anti Saudi elements have already attempted to circumvent the country’s strict rules and regulations to trigger chaos in the country to achieve their objectives, yet, Shariah laws, local customs and traditions in the Kingdom prohibit demonstrations or protests. Even abetting of such activity or encouragement thereof clearly breaches the law; and also encroaches upon the rights of others. Most importantly, the Saudi security forces have been given the green light to take all precautionary measures to deal with those who want to undermine the country’s security and apply laws against them. The Saudis claim that security is essential for people to enjoy peaceful and prosperous lives, prevent bloodshed, protect wealth, promote trade and ensure the protection of rights.
Just in time, a majority of Saudis have already commended the regime’s efforts to enhance the progress and prosperity of its people. Therefore, Saudi kingdom still stands a good chance of survival for a number of reasons: The king has been lately providing his people. King Abdullah recently announced a handsome welfare package worth SR110 billion, including a 15% pay raise for public employees. Social insurance benefits for the poor have been substantially enhanced. Prisoners held for minor crimes have been released. Prices of consumer goods in the Kingdom are lower. No complaints.
In the past, the trend in the Middle Eastern countries has been to hire foreign workers, but now there is a shift in hiring practices just to silence the local population through accommodating them against any job vacancies. Nevertheless, reality bites, as most companies feel more comfortable to hire foreigners for their professionalism, competitiveness, efficiency, productivity and hardwork.
Current circumstances would negatively impact the overall global economic health for years. The autocratic regimes in the affected regions have been holding stakes worth $320 billion in publicly traded firms, either directly or through rulers and sovereign funds. But, the present deteriorating condition in oil-producing regions is highly inflammable and unnerving indeed.
The scenario can be best described as “a turmoil leading to expensive oil” for the whole world as the crude oil price is sky rocketing with no end in sight in the near future. Hence, there is a golden opportunity for profiteering, yet a bad news for the consumers. More worrisome is the increased production in the “arms and ammunition” industry which is probably employing millions to kill millions - of course.
Last year, MENA countries produced 22.7 million barrels per day. Now the deadly revolt is ripping through the OPEC-member country (LIBYA) destroying almost 1/2 of its 1.6 million barrels per day output, if the present scenario is allowed to linger on without a fix on urgent basis, another “global economic recession” is imminent.
Talking about foreign intervention at this point is not a good sell, because that would escalate the crisis - hurting the already bleeding Arabs. Actually, the people deserve to be heard, as “people’s free will” always prevails in the end. Nevertheless, the Arab League and the OIC are obligated to resolve the crises as soon as possible.
Sadly, in order to hide the looted national treasure, the so called Muslim dictators/autocrats are unethically involved with foreign banking for their personal gain. The misappropriated national money in billions and billions of dollars becomes legally frozen in foreign lands as soon as the said Ruler steps down after losing his legitimacy. Thus, the nation is further victimised/deprived due to flight of money.
The question is - whether the people would ever get out of repression to enjoy real freedom and better lives, or would it be just a shift from one regime to another illegitimate ruler? Only time will tell.


Cris H said...

Qaddafi should leave now.

Johnny Fred said...

Dictorial regimes are on their way out due to massive political awareness.

Qadeer Shah said...

Janab Tariq Mian Sahib,

I really like your Article, especially the last few paragraphs about frozen assets and the resolution without further bloodshed. Thank you for your insight.
Warm Regards,

Qadeer Shah

Tasadduq said...

Janab tariq sahib,

Assalam-o-Alaikum waRahmatullah waBarakatuhu

Nice article. ` Ho Zore Qalam Aur Ziadah'. Missed your glamorous presence last Friday at IPC. I hope every thing was fine.



S.K. KCHI said...

Libyans have tolerated the coup maker for forty two years. Why was he allowed to continue that long?

Anonymous said...
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Anonymous said...
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Anonymous said...

Owning 25% of the world’s oil reserves is a source of ‘PLEASURE FOR TREASURE’ for the previous and present Royal families. Encouraged by the blowing wind of Middle East and North African [MENA] revolution, the Saudi population is now developing an urge to carry out protest rallies against the policies of the government.
Anger is building up fast in the Saudi population against the rule of King Abdullah, while King Philip Luther [Amnesty International] is very worried about the plight of the poor people of Saudi Arabia. He maintains that -- the Saudi authorities are bound under international law to allow peaceful demonstrations to its people.
The Saudi authorities are surely irritated by outsider’s interference in the internal matters of kingdom of Saudi Arabia [KSA].
Yet, it’s ripe time for the Saudis to bring Islamic principles in the true sense where the Ruler is accountable/ answerable to the ruled. The people have power of deciding about who should be given the pious charge of serving the country. Under the Islamic system, nobody is ever without proper food, reasonable shelter and all other benefits. Economy under Islamic system is the soundest as it remains pure of manipulation. That had been proven in the remote past by the khulafai Rashdeen.
There is hardly any mis-exploitation of natural resources or any noticeable economic exploitation of the poor.
Kings, emperors, autocrats, or dictators are not allowed under Islamic Shariah laws.

Qadeer Shah said...

Janab Tariq Mian Sahib,

I really like your Article, especially the lost few paragraphs about frozen assets and the resolution without further bloodshed. Thank you for your insight.
Warm Regards,

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